Canada’s electoral encyclopedia

It should have been the blues!
(But instead they had the blues)

by Maurice Y. Michaud (he/him)

Scénarios alternatifsThe Conservatives in British Columbia could not have picked a worse time to have a fight in the family.

In January 1923, a group of Conservative dissidents known as the “Committee of 100” formed the Provincial Party of British Columbia. It was led by Alexander McRae and also had Sir Charles Hibbert Tupper on its side. They believed that the Liberal government of John Oliver was corrupt, but that previous Conservative administrations had been just as bad. They opposed patronage, Oriental labour, and the “temporary” income tax that had been introduced during the War.

The reason why the timing for such infighting among Conservatives was so bad is that clearly many British Columbians shared the dissidents’ views. What’s more, the Liberals had been in power since 1916 and the time for the usual alternance of power had likely come. But rather than bringing enough conservative-minded people to his side, McRae only managed to split the family in half, letting the Liberals slip in to form a third consecutive government, although this time a minority. Even he didn’t manage to win one of the six seats in Vancouver City.

British Columbia British Columbia
16 → 1924 :: 20 Jun 1924 — 17 Jul 1928 — Majority Minority  BCLP 
Summary Government Opposition Lost votes
Party Votes Seats Party Votes Seats Party Votes
# % % # # % % # # %
Parliament: 16   Majority Minority
Majority=25  Ab.Maj.: -2  G.Maj.: -2
Population [1921]: 524,582
Eligible: 225,675  Particip.: 65.91%
Votes: 422,538  Lost: 83,436
Seats: 48   1 seat = 2.08%
↳ Elec.Sys.:  FPTP: 38  PAL: 10  
↳ By acclamation: 0 (0.00%)
Plurality: Votes  BCLP  Seats  BCLP 
Plurality:  +6,558 (+1.89%)
Plurality:  Seats: +6 (+12.50%)
Position2: Votes  LCBC  Seats  LCBC 
Candidacies: 168 (✓ 48)   m: 162 (✓ 47)   f: 6 (✓ 1)
 BCLP  46   LCBC  47   PROV  45   CLP  17   OTH  10   IND  3  
 BCLP 
108,323 31.34 47.92 23
 LCBC 
 PROV 
 CLP 
 OTH 
101,765
83,517
43,408
2,089
29.45
24.17
12.56
0.60
35.42
6.25
6.25
4.17
17
3
3
2
 OTH 
 IND 
 REJ 
 ABS 
3,984
2,520
76,932
——
1.16
0.73
18.21
——
Difference since the previous general election: +1 seat
 CLP  SP  1 (✓ 0)   CLP  16 (✓ 3)
 OTH  ILIB  5 (✓ 2)   ICON  4   IFRM  1
 !!!  16 (33.33%)

Indeed, 53.62% of the votes were blue but divided into two camps and yielded 20 of the 48 seats in the legislature. On the other hand, 31.34% of the votes were Liberal red and netted them 23 seats. There was only a difference of 5.28% between the blue camps, yet the “old” camp got nearly six times as many seats of the “new” camp. Surely vote splitting prevented the blues from forming government...

To find the answer, let’s:

  1. Consider  PROV  the party causing the vote splitting and  LCBC  the one affected by it.
  2. Set aside the 17 ridings where the person elected:
    • had a clear majority (50%+1) and represented neither  PROV  nor  LCBC , or
    • represented  LCBC  and thus wasn’t affected by vote splitting,
    which leaves us with 21 ridings.
  3. Transfer the votes received by  PROV  to  LCBC  if the latter did not already win the riding.
  4. Recalculate the results in each of those 21 ridings to find the ones where the winning party would have been different.

Thus we could conclude that there would have been 18 differences.

Seats won due to vote splitting    ILIB  2    BCLP  12    SP  2    Seats won by the spoiler party   PROV  3
Riding Alternative BCLP LCBC PROV SP ILIB        
Election → 23 17 3 3 2
Details
BC
 LCBC  PROV  +293 (57.51%)
Richard Burde +46 (42.48%)
 ILIB   LCBC    18     1        
BC
 LCBC  PROV  +270 (61.29%)
Herbert Kergin +83 (38.71%)
 BCLP   LCBC  22 19              
BC
 LCBC  PROV  +562 (42.41%)
Francis Browne +243 (31.22%)
 SP   LCBC    20   2          
BC
Transfer
David Stoddart +79 (37.81%)
 PROV   LCBC    21 2            
BC
 LCBC  PROV  +919 (62.17%)
Edward Barrow +148 (37.83%)
 BCLP   LCBC  21 22              
BC
 LCBC  PROV  +347 (56.05%)
Paul Harrison +446 (43.95%)
 ILIB   LCBC    23     0        
BC
 LCBC  PROV  +209 (51.88%)
Alexander Paterson +424 (46.13%)
 BCLP   LCBC  20 24              
BC
 LCBC  PROV  +150 (53.24%)
Henry Perry +56 (46.76%)
 BCLP   LCBC  19 25              
BC
 LCBC  PROV  +505 (58.62%)
James Colley +215 (41.38%)
 BCLP   LCBC  18 26              
BC
 LCBC  PROV  +185 (48.17%)
Charles Leary +199 (39.11%)
 BCLP   LCBC  17 27              
BC
 LCBC  PROV  +219 (57.45%)
Albert Munn +104 (42.56%)
 BCLP   LCBC  16 28              
BC
 LCBC  PROV  +337 (45.72%)
Edwin Rothwell +254 (37.61%)
 BCLP   LCBC  15 29              
BC
 LCBC  PROV  +615 (48.19%)
K.C. MacDonald +292 (33.20%)
 BCLP   LCBC  14 30              
BC
 LCBC  PROV  +310 (38.91%)
John Bryan +120 (31.34%)
 BCLP   LCBC  13 31              
BC
 LCBC  PROV  +159 (55.92%)
Alexander Manson +139 (44.08%)
 BCLP   LCBC  12 32              
BC
Transfer
George Walkem +78 (35.34%)
 PROV   LCBC    33 1            
BC
 LCBC  PROV  +5 (38.84%)
Robert Neelands +687 (38.74%)
 SP   LCBC    34   1          
BC
 LCBC  PROV  +195 (53.91%)
John MacLean +383 (46.09%)
 BCLP   LCBC  11 35              
Redistribution → 11 35 1 1 0

But it should have been even worse than that for the Liberals. Vancouver City where McRae ran was one of two ridings at the time that elected more than one member. (The other was Victoria City, and the “old blues” picked up all four seats — even taking Premier Oliver’s and forcing him to run in a by-election two months later.) So let’s take a look at how many votes the Conservatives and Provincials received in Vancouver City, and imagine if they had stood as united “blue” candidates.

Vancouver City :: 20 June 2014
Rank BCLP LCBC PROV LCBC+PROV BCLP LCBC PROV
1 Woodward 11,318 Maitland 8,417 Creery 9,071 17,488 −1 +2 −1
2 Odlum 10,011 Bowser 7,818 A. McRae 9,008 16,826 −1 +1
3 C. McRae 9,778 Kirk 7,686 McTaggart 8,924 16,610 −1 +1
4 Mackenzie 9,476 Scott 7,292 Hall 8,749 16,041 −1 +1
5 Smith 9,251 Howe 7,250 Rounsefell 8,407 15,657 −1 +1
6 Farris 8,427 Roe 7,222 Showler 7,437 14,659
∑ → −5 +6 −1
Redistribution → 6 41 0

United we win. Divided we lose.
McRae soon after rejoined the Conservatives and the Provincial Party disbanded shortly afterwards.



© 2005, 2025 :: PoliCan.ca (Maurice Y. Michaud)
Pub.:  1 Jul 2025 23:27
Rev.:  2 Jul 2025 12:37 (but data presented dynamically)