Canada's electoral history from 1867 to today

The Reconstruction Party (1934–1938)

by Maurice Y. Michaud (he/him)

Alternative scenariosDespite clear evidence that unemployment was rising sharply by the time the 1930 general election was called, the Liberal prime minister at the time, Mackenzie King, seemed to be in denial about it. As a result, when the Conservative party leader, Richard Bennett, campaigned on a platform of undertaking aggressive measures in order to combat it, his message resonated among voters and his party formed a majority government. However, massive government intervention in the economy going against the DNA of the Conservatives, a key minister and long-time Conservative who was in favour of such measures, Henry Stevens, left the party in 1934 and formed his own for the 1935 general election: the Reconstruction Party.

Let's begin by looking at the final results. Of the 388,746 votes shown here as "Other," the vast majority — 384,957 — had gone to the Reconstruction Party, giving it an 8.75% vote share nationwide. But only Stevens won his seat of Kootenay East in British Columbia.

Canada Canada
18 → 1935 :: 14 Oct 1935 — 25 Mar 1940 — Majority Majority  LIB 
Summary Government Opposition Unproductive votes
Party Votes Seats Party Votes Seats Party Votes
# % % # # % % # # %
Parliament: 18   Majority Majority
Majority=123  Ab.Maj.: +55  G.Maj.: +109
Population [1931]: 10,367,470
Eligible: 5,897,376  Particip.: 74.63%
Votes: 4,400,960  Unproductive: 138,554
Seats: 245   1 seat = 0.41%
↳ Elec.Sys.:  FPTP: 241  PAL: 4  
↳ By acclamation: 0 (0.00%)
Plurality: Votes  LIB  Seats  LIB 
Plurality:  +712,995 (+15.85%)
Plurality:  Seats: +138 (+56.32%)
Position2: Votes  LC  Seats  LC 
Candidacies: 889 (✓ 245)   m: 873 (✓ 243)   f: 16 (✓ 2)
 LIB  254   LC  228   SC  46   CCF  116   OTH  228   IND  16   PROG  1  
LIB
2,005,791 45.58 72.24 177
LC
SC
CCF
OTH
PROG
IND
1,292,796
180,679
382,687
388,746
7,210
4,497
29.38
4.11
8.70
8.83
0.16
0.10
15.92
6.94
2.86
1.22
0.41
0.41
39
17
7
3
1
1
OTH
IND
REJ
ABS
122,437
16,117
——
1,496,416
2.78
0.37
——
——
 LIB  LIB  246 (✓ 173)   LLAB  3 (✓ 0)   LIBP  5 (✓ 4)
 PROG  UFOL  1 (✓ 1)
 REC  Ephemeral party of dissident Conservatives led by Henry H. Stevens and dissolved by 1938.
 OTH  REC  171 (✓ 1)   ILIB  24 (✓ 1)   ICON  4 (✓ 1)   COMM  15   LAB  5
 OTH  PRCO  2   VERD  1   NUPC  1   IREC  1   TECH  1   SOC  1   ILAB  1   ILAB  1
 !!!  44 (17.96%)

However, this summary does not show that 13 Reconstructionists finished in second place, and 96 in third. Therefore, it behooves us to find out how many seats, if any, Stevens' party robbed from the Conservatives by allowing a Liberal to be the first past the post. Would the Liberals still have had a majority, which, at the time, was 123 seats?

To find the answer, let's:

  1. Consider  REC  the party causing the vote splitting and  LC  the one affected by it.
  2. Set aside the 141 ridings where the person elected:
    • had a clear majority (50%+1) and represented neither  REC  nor  LC 
    • or represented  LC  and thus wasn't affected by vote splitting,
    which leaves us with 104 ridings.
  3. Transfer the votes received by  REC  to  LC  if the latter did not already win the riding.
  4. Recalculate the results in each of those 104 ridings to find the ones where the winning party would have been different.

Thus we could conclude that there would have been 42 differences.

Seats won due to vote splitting    LIB  41    Seats won by the spoiler party   REC  1
Riding Alternative LIB LC SC CCF PROG ILIB ICON REC IND
Election → 173 39 17 7 1 1 1 1 1
Details
BC
Transfer
Henry H. Stevens +565 (38.81%)
 REC   LC    40           0  
BC
 LC  REC  +464 (52.81%)
Olof Hanson +1,287 (47.19%)
 LIB   LC  172 41              
MB
 LC  REC  +247 (51.21%)
Howard W. Winkler +520 (48.79%)
 LIB   LC  171 42              
MB
 LC  REC  +454 (27.79%)
John M. Turner +0 (24.66%)
 LIB   LC  170 43              
MB
 LC  REC  +760 (38.82%)
H. Ralph Maybank +1,882 (36.36%)
 LIB   LC  169 44              
NB
 LC  REC  +612 (49.90%)
William M. Ryan +3,482 (47.96%)
 LIB   LC  168 45              
NB
 LC  REC  +696 (52.22%)
J.E. Jack Patterson +1,095 (47.78%)
 LIB   LC  167 46              
NB
 LC  REC  +1,252 (53.16%)
William G. Clark +254 (46.85%)
 LIB   LC  166 47              
NS
 LC  REC  +987 (53.55%)
Daniel A. Cameron +2,390 (46.45%)
 LIB   LC  165 48              
NS
 LC  REC  +1,954 (43.94%)
David J. Hartigan +3,054 (36.99%)
 LIB   LC  164 49              
NS
 LC  REC  +1,717 (54.10%)
Gordon T. Purdy +206 (45.90%)
 LIB   LC  163 50              
NS
 LC  REC  +2,154 (56.30%)
Kenneth J. Cochrane +315 (43.70%)
 LIB   LC  162 51              
NS
 LC  REC  +2,299 (56.00%)
Henry B. McCulloch +1,903 (43.99%)
 LIB   LC  161 52              
ON
 LC  REC  +570 (50.39%)
George E. Wood +707 (44.49%)
 LIB   LC  160 53              
ON
 LC  REC  +330 (46.15%)
William R. Macdonald +872 (44.17%)
 LIB   LC  159 54              
ON
 LC  REC  +1,291 (54.31%)
William R. Tomlinson +1,682 (45.68%)
 LIB   LC  158 55              
ON
 LC  REC  +58 (48.41%)
W. Franklin Rickard +473 (48.00%)
 LIB   LC  157 56              
ON
 LC  REC  +6 (50.02%)
Wilson H. Mills +1,787 (49.99%)
 LIB   LC  156 57              
ON
 LC  REC  +33 (39.43%)
J.J.G. Paul Martin +1,069 (39.26%)
 LIB   LC  155 58              
ON
 LC  REC  +1,114 (47.83%)
Daniel McIvor +916 (39.75%)
 LIB   LC  154 59              
ON
 LC  REC  +472 (47.90%)
William P. Telford +1,320 (45.25%)
 LIB   LC  153 60              
ON
 LC  REC  +845 (53.20%)
E. Hughes Cleaver +1,031 (46.80%)
 LIB   LC  152 61              
ON
 LC  REC  +469 (51.15%)
J. Charles A. Cameron +410 (48.85%)
 LIB   LC  151 62              
ON
 LC  REC  +1,500 (55.84%)
T. Rork S. Ferguson +1,052 (44.16%)
 LIB   LC  150 63              
ON
 LC  REC  +989 (53.53%)
Robert J. Deachman +583 (46.47%)
 LIB   LC  149 64              
ON
 LC  REC  +1,669 (55.51%)
Hugh A. MacKenzie +1,680 (44.49%)
 LIB   LC  148 65              
ON
 LC  REC  +278 (46.76%)
Duncan G. Ross +1,549 (45.01%)
 LIB   LC  147 66              
ON
 LC  REC  +358 (49.26%)
Stephen J. Furniss +857 (47.20%)
 LIB   LC  146 67              
ON
 LC  REC  +990 (50.88%)
T. Franklin Ahearn +6,284 (48.64%)
 LIB   LC  145 68              
ON
 LC  REC  +170 (48.50%)
Almon S. Rennie +2,783 (47.79%)
 LIB   LC  144 69              
ON
 LC  REC  +1,386 (49.72%)
Joseph J. Duffus +1,685 (42.41%)
 LIB   LC  143 70              
ON
 LC  REC  +31 (50.13%)
Matthew McKay +1,918 (49.87%)
 LIB   LC  142 71              
ON
 LC  REC  +2,401 (48.36%)
Hugh J. Plaxton +865 (39.34%)
 LIB   LC  141 72              
ON
 LC  REC  +498 (51.47%)
T. Bruce McNevin +60 (48.53%)
 LIB   LC  140 73              
ON
 LC  REC  +4,259 (48.46%)
John E.L. Streight +60 (31.89%)
 LIB   LC  139 74              
QC
 LC  REC  +1,359 (54.26%)
 LIB   LC  138 75              
QC
 LC  REC  +499 (49.89%)
Armand Sylvestre +162 (47.33%)
 LIB   LC  137 76              
QC
 LC  REC  +2,877 (53.25%)
Sarto Fournier +3,268 (42.05%)
 LIB   LC  136 77              
QC
 LC  REC  +4,323 (65.12%)
 LIB   LC  135 78              
QC
 LC  REC  +1,220 (37.93%)
Wallace R. McDonald +82 (31.26%)
 LIB   LC  134 79              
QC
 LC  REC  +311 (51.33%)
Robert G. Davidson +123 (48.67%)
 LIB   LC  133 80              
QC
 LC  REC  +683 (33.44%)
Wilfrid Gariépy +366 (30.08%)
 LIB   LC  132 81              
Redistribution → 132 81 17 7 1 1 1 0 1

So yes, the Liberals would still have had a majority, but it would have been of +10 instead of +55. For their part, the Reconstructionists returned to the Conservative fold in 1938.



© 2019, 2024 :: PoliCan.ca (Maurice Y. Michaud)
Pub.: 21 May 2023 10:03
Rev.:  4 Nov 2023 09:38 (but data presented dynamically)