PoliCan > Elections: What can we expect?

I raise my hat to this man: Philippe Fournier! A teacher of physics and astrophysics at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montréal and media commentator on Canadian politics, Philippe created 338Canada in 2017 (and its French counterpart Qc125). Not himself a pollster, he has instead developed a sophisticated model that looks at and weighs the different polls on upcoming elections to determine the probability of which party will win in each riding. So far his accuracy rate has been amazing, sometimes calling some ridings in a way that no individual poll predicted. His only big miss of late has been the 2021 Nova Scotia general election, which everybody including himself was calling for a Liberal majority that turned out to be a Progressive Conservative majority. But that's only a blemish on an otherwise impressive record.

Unlike 338Canada, PoliCan makes absolutely no predictions on upcoming elections, as the purpose of this site is to consolidate permanent and easily searchable archives of all federal and provincial elections ever held in Canada since Confederation, as well as on the people who ran in those elections. However, in order to gather, verify, cross-reference and enter all that information, I must prepare well ahead of time so that once those elections have occurred, I can post that information online as quickly as possible. But I stress that all the credit for the predictions found on this page belongs to Philippe! At most, this is just a mirror of his site.

However, it then occurred to me... Given that I already have the structure in place for those upcoming elections, why not make that information available right away?

So here it is! But of course, to get the detailed riding-by-riding analyses, please go directly to the source. Plus it can take me some time to catch up with Philippe.

The projected winning parties are based on data taken from 338canada.com according to the 13 October 2024 update. New electoral map and five new ridings (343 instead of 338), with one new seat each for Ontario and British Columbia and three new seats for Alberta. This change may lead in some cases some incumbents to run against each other, or in another riding. In other cases, the next "path point" of an MP will only be determined closer to the election.
							20 October 2025 343 seats
CPC	LIB	BQ	NDP	GRN	PPC	IND
222	57	42	20	2	0	0
Net gains / Net losses
+105	-96	+10	-5	0	0	-2
— Majority = 172 seats

Ridings			Incumbents			Proj.
			† Not re-offering ✓ Re-elected ✗ Defeated G = Gain
1.	AB	Airdrie—Cochrane················································	CPC	Blake Richards	✓	CPC
2.	AB	Battle River—Crowfoot···········································	CPC	Damien Kurek	✓	CPC
3.	AB	Bow River·······················································	CPC	Martin Shields	✓	CPC
4.	AB	Calgary Centre··················································	CPC	Greg McLean	✓	CPC
5.	AB	Calgary Confederation···········································	CPC	Len Webber	✓	CPC
6.	AB	Calgary Crowfoot················································	CPC	Pat Kelly	✓	CPC
7.	AB	Calgary East····················································	CPC	Jasraj Hallan	✓	CPC
8.	AB	Calgary Heritage················································	CPC	Shuv Majumdar	✓	CPC
9.	AB	Calgary McKnight················································				CPC	G
10.	AB	Calgary Midnapore···············································	CPC	Stephanie Kusie	✓	CPC
11.	AB	Calgary Nose Hill···············································	CPC	Michelle Rempel Garner	✓	CPC
12.	AB	Calgary Shepard·················································	CPC	Tom Kmiec	✓	CPC
13.	AB	Calgary Signal Hill·············································	CPC	Ron Liepert	†	CPC	G
14.	AB	Calgary Skyview·················································	LIB	George Chahal	✗	CPC	G
15.	AB	Edmonton Centre·················································	LIB	Randy Boissonnault	✗	CPC	G
16.	AB	Edmonton Gateway················································				CPC	G
17.	AB	Edmonton Griesbach··············································	NDP	Blake Desjarlais	✗	CPC	G
18.	AB	Edmonton Manning················································	CPC	Ziad Aboultaif	✓	CPC
19.	AB	Edmonton Northwest··············································				CPC	G
20.	AB	Edmonton Riverbend··············································	CPC	Matt Jeneroux	✓	CPC
21.	AB	Edmonton Southeast··············································	CPC	Tim Uppal	✓	CPC
22.	AB	Edmonton Strathcona·············································	NDP	Heather McPherson	✓	NDP
23.	AB	Edmonton West···················································	CPC	Kelly McCauley	✓	CPC
24.	AB	Foothills·······················································	CPC	John Barlow	✓	CPC
25.	AB	Fort McMurray—Cold Lake·········································	CPC	Laila Goodridge	✓	CPC
26.	AB	Grande Prairie··················································	CPC	Chris Warkentin	✓	CPC
27.	AB	Lakeland························································	CPC	Shannon Stubbs	✓	CPC
28.	AB	Leduc—Wetaskiwin················································	CPC	Mike Lake	✓	CPC
29.	AB	Lethbridge······················································	CPC	Rachael Thomas	✓	CPC
30.	AB	Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner····································	CPC	Glen Motz	✓	CPC
31.	AB	Parkland························································	CPC	Dane Lloyd	✓	CPC
32.	AB	Peace River—Westlock············································	CPC	Arnold Viersen	✓	CPC
33.	AB	Ponoka—Didsbury·················································	CPC	Blaine Calkins	✓	CPC
34.	AB	Red Deer························································	CPC	Earl Dreeshen	✓	CPC
35.	AB	Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan·································	CPC	Garnett Genuis	✓	CPC
36.	AB	St. Albert—Sturgeon River·······································	CPC	Michael Cooper	✓	CPC
37.	AB	Yellowhead······················································	CPC	Gerald Soroka	†	CPC
38.	BC	Abbotsford—South Langley········································	CPC	Ed Fast	†	CPC
39.	BC	Burnaby Central·················································	NDP	Jagmeet Singh	✓	NDP
40.	BC	Burnaby North—Seymour···········································	LIB	Terry Beech	✗	CPC	G
41.	BC	Cariboo—Prince George···········································	CPC	Todd Doherty	✓	CPC
42.	BC	Chilliwack—Hope·················································	CPC	Mark Strahl	✓	CPC
43.	BC	Cloverdale—Langley City·········································				CPC	G
44.	BC	Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies······························	CPC	Rob Morrison	✓	CPC
45.	BC	Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam········································	LIB	Ron McKinnon	✗	CPC	G
46.	BC	Courtenay—Alberni···············································	NDP	Gord Johns	✗	CPC	G
47.	BC	Cowichan—Malahat—Langford·······································	NDP	Alistair MacGregor	✗	CPC	G
48.	BC	Delta···························································	LIB	Carla Qualtrough	✗	CPC	G
49.	BC	Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke·········································	NDP	Randall Garrison	†	NDP
50.	BC	Fleetwood—Port Kells············································	LIB	Ken Hardie	†	CPC	G
51.	BC	Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies································				CPC	G
52.	BC	Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola········································	CPC	Frank Caputo	✓	CPC
53.	BC	Kelowna·························································	CPC	Tracy Gray	✓	CPC
54.	BC	Langley Township—Fraser Heights·································	CPC	Tako van Popta	✓	CPC
55.	BC	Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford······································	CPC	Brad Vis	✓	CPC
56.	BC	Nanaimo—Ladysmith···············································	NDP	Lisa Marie Barron	✗	CPC	G
57.	BC	New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville···························	NDP	Peter Julian	✓	NDP
58.	BC	North Island—Powell River·······································	NDP	Rachel Blaney	†	CPC	G
59.	BC	North Vancouver—Capilano········································	LIB	Jonathan Wilkinson	✗	CPC	G
60.	BC	Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna································	CPC	Dan Albas	✓	CPC
61.	BC	Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge········································	CPC	Marc Dalton	✓	CPC
62.	BC	Port Moody—Coquitlam············································	NDP	Bonita Zarrillo	✗	CPC	G
63.	BC	Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies······················	CPC	Bob Zimmer	✓	CPC
64.	BC	Richmond Centre—Marpole·········································	LIB	Wilson Miao	✗	CPC	G
65.	BC	Richmond East—Steveston·········································	LIB	Parm Bains	✗	CPC	G
66.	BC	Saanich—Gulf Islands············································	GRN	Elizabeth May	✓	GRN
67.	BC	Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay························	NDP	Dick Cannings	†	CPC	G
68.	BC	Skeena—Bulkley Valley···········································	NDP	Taylor Bachrach	✗	CPC	G
69.	BC	South Surrey—White Rock·········································	CPC	Kerry-Lynne Findlay	✓	CPC
70.	BC	Surrey Centre···················································	LIB	Randeep Sarai	✓	LIB
71.	BC	Surrey Newton···················································	LIB	Sukh Dhaliwal	✓	LIB
72.	BC	Vancouver Centre················································	LIB	Hedy Fry	✗	CPC	G
73.	BC	Vancouver East··················································	NDP	Jenny Kwan	✓	NDP
74.	BC	Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby······························	LIB	Harjit Sajjan	✗	CPC	G
75.	BC	Vancouver Granville·············································	LIB	Taleeb Noormohamed	✗	CPC	G
76.	BC	Vancouver Kingsway··············································	NDP	Don Davies	✓	NDP
77.	BC	Vancouver Quadra················································	LIB	Joyce Murray	†	CPC	G
78.	BC	Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee····································	CPC	Mel Arnold	✓	CPC
79.	BC	Victoria························································	NDP	Laurel Collins	✓	NDP
80.	BC	West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country················	LIB	Patrick Weiler	✗	CPC	G
81.	MB	Brandon—Souris··················································	CPC	Larry Maguire	✓	CPC
82.	MB	Churchill—Keewatinook Aski······································	NDP	Niki Ashton	✓	NDP
83.	MB	Elmwood—Transcona···············································	NDP	Leila Dance	✓	NDP
84.	MB	Kildonan—St. Paul···············································	CPC	Raquel Dancho	✓	CPC
85.	MB	Portage—Lisgar··················································	CPC	Branden Leslie	✓	CPC
86.	MB	Provencher······················································	CPC	Ted Falk	✓	CPC
87.	MB	Riding Mountain·················································	CPC	Dan Mazier	✓	CPC
88.	MB	Saint Boniface—Saint Vital······································	LIB	Dan Vandal	✓	LIB
89.	MB	Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman·······································	CPC	James Bezan	✓	CPC
90.	MB	Winnipeg Centre·················································	NDP	Leah Gazan	✓	NDP
91.	MB	Winnipeg North··················································	LIB	Kevin Lamoureux	✓	LIB
92.	MB	Winnipeg South··················································	LIB	Terry Duguid	✓	LIB
93.	MB	Winnipeg South Centre···········································	LIB	Ben Carr	✓	LIB
94.	MB	Winnipeg West···················································	CPC	Marty Morantz	✓	CPC
95.	NB	Acadie—Bathurst·················································	LIB	Serge Cormier	✓	LIB
96.	NB	Beauséjour······················································	LIB	Dominic LeBlanc	✓	LIB
97.	NB	Fredericton—Oromocto············································	LIB	Jenica Atwin	✗	CPC	G
98.	NB	Fundy Royal·····················································	CPC	Rob Moore	✓	CPC
99.	NB	Madawaska—Restigouche···········································	LIB	René Arseneault	†	CPC	G
100.	NB	Miramichi—Grand Lake············································	CPC	Jake Stewart	✓	CPC
101.	NB	Moncton—Dieppe··················································	LIB	Ginette Petitpas Taylor	✓	LIB
102.	NB	Saint John—Kennebecasis·········································	LIB	Wayne Long	†	CPC	G
103.	NB	Saint John—St. Croix············································	CPC	John Williamson	✓	CPC
104.	NB	Tobique—Mactaquac···············································	CPC	Richard Bragdon	✓	CPC
105.	NL	Avalon··························································	LIB	Ken McDonald	†	CPC	G
106.	NL	Cape Spear······················································	LIB	Seamus O'Regan	†	LIB
107.	NL	Central Newfoundland············································	CPC	Clifford Small	✓	CPC
108.	NL	Labrador························································	LIB	Yvonne Jones	✗	CPC	G
109.	NL	Long Range Mountains············································	LIB	Gudie Hutchings	✗	CPC	G
110.	NL	St. John's East·················································	LIB	Joanne Thompson	✓	LIB
111.	NL	Terra Nova—The Peninsulas·······································	LIB	Churence Rogers	✗	CPC	G
112.	NS	Acadie—Annapolis················································	CPC	Chris d'Entremont	✓	CPC
113.	NS	Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish····································	LIB	Mike Kelloway	✗	CPC	G
114.	NS	Central Nova····················································	LIB	Sean Fraser	✗	CPC	G
115.	NS	Cumberland—Colchester···········································	CPC	Stephen Ellis	✓	CPC
116.	NS	Dartmouth—Cole Harbour··········································	LIB	Darren Fisher	✓	LIB
117.	NS	Halifax·························································	LIB	Andy Fillmore	†	LIB
118.	NS	Halifax West····················································	LIB	Lena Diab	✓	LIB
119.	NS	Kings—Hants·····················································	LIB	Kody Blois	✗	CPC	G
120.	NS	Sackville—Bedford—Preston·······································	LIB	Darrell Samson	✗	CPC	G
121.	NS	South Shore—St. Margarets·······································	CPC	Rick Perkins	✓	CPC
122.	NS	Sydney—Glace Bay················································	LIB	Jaime Battiste	✗	CPC	G
123.	NT	Northwest Territories···········································	LIB	Michael McLeod	†	NDP	G
124.	NU	Nunavut·························································	NDP	Lori Idlout	✓	NDP
125.	ON	Ajax····························································	LIB	Mark Holland	✓	LIB
126.	ON	Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke······································	CPC	Cheryl Gallant	✓	CPC
127.	ON	Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill·································	LIB	Leah Taylor Roy	✗	CPC	G
128.	ON	Barrie South—Innisfil···········································	CPC	John Brassard	✓	CPC
129.	ON	Barrie—Springwater—Oro—Medonte··································	CPC	Doug Shipley	✓	CPC
130.	ON	Bay of Quinte···················································	CPC	Ryan Williams	✓	CPC
131.	ON	Beaches—East York···············································	LIB	Nathaniel Erskine-Smith	†	LIB
132.	ON	Bowmanville—Oshawa North········································	CPC	Jamil Jivani	✓	CPC
133.	ON	Brampton Centre·················································	LIB	Shafqat Ali	✗	CPC	G
134.	ON	Brampton East···················································	LIB	Maninder Sidhu	✓	LIB
135.	ON	Brampton North—Caledon··········································	LIB	Ruby Sahota	✗	CPC	G
136.	ON	Brampton South··················································	LIB	Sonia Sidhu	✓	LIB
137.	ON	Brampton West···················································	LIB	Kamal Khera	✓	LIB
138.	ON	Brampton—Chinguacousy Park······································				CPC	G
139.	ON	Brantford—Brant—Six Nations·····································	CPC	Larry Brock	✓	CPC
140.	ON	Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound···········································	CPC	Alex Ruff	✓	CPC
141.	ON	Burlington······················································	LIB	Karina Gould	✗	CPC	G
142.	ON	Burlington North—Milton West····································	LIB	Adam van Koeverden	✗	CPC	G
143.	ON	Cambridge·······················································	LIB	Bryan May	✗	CPC	G
144.	ON	Carleton························································	CPC	Pierre Poilievre	✓	CPC
145.	ON	Chatham-Kent—Leamington·········································	CPC	Dave Epp	✓	CPC
146.	ON	Davenport·······················································	LIB	Julie Dzerowicz	✗	NDP	G
147.	ON	Don Valley North················································	IND	Han Dong	✗	CPC	G
148.	ON	Don Valley West·················································	LIB	Rob Oliphant	✗	CPC	G
149.	ON	Dufferin—Caledon················································	CPC	Kyle Seeback	✓	CPC
150.	ON	Eglinton—Lawrence···············································	LIB	Marco Mendicino	✗	CPC	G
151.	ON	Elgin—St. Thomas—London South···································	CPC	Karen Vecchio	†	CPC
152.	ON	Essex···························································	CPC	Chris Lewis	✓	CPC
153.	ON	Etobicoke Centre················································	LIB	Yvan Baker	✗	CPC	G
154.	ON	Etobicoke North·················································	LIB	Kirsty Duncan	✓	LIB
155.	ON	Etobicoke—Lakeshore·············································	LIB	James Maloney	✗	CPC	G
156.	ON	Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North·······························				CPC	G
157.	ON	Guelph··························································	LIB	Lloyd Longfield	†	CPC	G
158.	ON	Haldimand—Norfolk···············································	CPC	Leslyn Lewis	✓	CPC
159.	ON	Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes·······································	CPC	Jamie Schmale	✓	CPC
160.	ON	Hamilton Centre·················································	NDP	Matthew Green	✓	NDP
161.	ON	Hamilton East—Stoney Creek······································	LIB	Chad Collins	✗	CPC	G
162.	ON	Hamilton Mountain···············································	LIB	Lisa Hepfner	✗	CPC	G
163.	ON	Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas···································	LIB	Filomena Tassi	✗	CPC	G
164.	ON	Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga························	CPC	Shelby Kramp-Neuman	✓	CPC
165.	ON	Humber River—Black Creek········································	LIB	Judy Sgro	✓	LIB
166.	ON	Huron—Bruce·····················································	CPC	Ben Lobb	✓	CPC
167.	ON	Kanata··························································	LIB	Jenna Sudds	✗	CPC	G
168.	ON	Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk·································	NDP	Charlie Angus	†	CPC	G
169.	ON	Kenora—Kiiwetinoong·············································	CPC	Eric Melillo	✓	CPC
170.	ON	King—Vaughan····················································	CPC	Anna Roberts	✓	CPC
171.	ON	Kingston and the Islands········································	LIB	Mark Gerretsen	✗	CPC	G
172.	ON	Kitchener Centre················································	GRN	Mike Morrice	✓	GRN
173.	ON	Kitchener South—Hespeler········································	LIB	Valerie Bradford	✗	CPC	G
174.	ON	Kitchener—Conestoga·············································	LIB	Tim Louis	✗	CPC	G
175.	ON	Lanark—Frontenac················································	CPC	Scott Reid	✓	CPC
176.	ON	Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes···················	CPC	Michael Barrett	✓	CPC
177.	ON	London Centre···················································	LIB	Peter Fragiskatos	✗	CPC	G
178.	ON	London West·····················································	LIB	Arielle Kayabaga	✗	CPC	G
179.	ON	London—Fanshawe·················································	NDP	Lindsay Mathyssen	✓	NDP
180.	ON	Markham—Stouffville·············································	LIB	Helena Jaczek	†	CPC	G
181.	ON	Markham—Thornhill···············································	LIB	Mary Ng	✓	LIB
182.	ON	Markham—Unionville··············································	LIB	Paul Chiang	✗	CPC	G
183.	ON	Middlesex—London················································	CPC	Lianne Rood	✓	CPC
184.	ON	Milton East—Halton Hills South··································				CPC	G
185.	ON	Mississauga Centre··············································	LIB	Omar Alghabra	†	LIB
186.	ON	Mississauga East—Cooksville·····································	LIB	Peter Fonseca	✗	CPC	G
187.	ON	Mississauga—Erin Mills··········································	LIB	Iqra Khalid	✗	CPC	G
188.	ON	Mississauga—Lakeshore···········································	LIB	Charles Sousa	✗	CPC	G
189.	ON	Mississauga—Malton··············································	LIB	Iqwinder Gaheer	✗	CPC	G
190.	ON	Mississauga—Streetsville········································	LIB	Rechie Valdez	✗	CPC	G
191.	ON	Nepean··························································	LIB	Chandra Arya	✗	CPC	G
192.	ON	New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury·······································	CPC	Scot Davidson	✓	CPC
193.	ON	Newmarket—Aurora················································	LIB	Tony Van Bynen	†	CPC	G
194.	ON	Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake·······························	CPC	Tony Baldinelli	✓	CPC
195.	ON	Niagara South···················································	LIB	Vance Badawey	✗	CPC	G
196.	ON	Niagara West····················································	CPC	Dean Allison	✓	CPC
197.	ON	Nipissing—Timiskaming···········································	LIB	Anthony Rota	†	CPC	G
198.	ON	Northumberland—Clarke···········································	CPC	Philip Lawrence	✓	CPC
199.	ON	Oakville East···················································	LIB	Anita Anand	✗	CPC	G
200.	ON	Oakville West···················································	LIB	Pam Damoff	†	CPC	G
201.	ON	Orléans·························································	LIB	Marie-France Lalonde	✓	LIB
202.	ON	Oshawa··························································	CPC	Colin Carrie	†	CPC
203.	ON	Ottawa Centre···················································	LIB	Yasir Naqvi	✓	LIB
204.	ON	Ottawa South····················································	LIB	David McGuinty	✓	LIB
205.	ON	Ottawa West—Nepean··············································	LIB	Anita Vandenbeld	✗	CPC	G
206.	ON	Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester········································	LIB	Mona Fortier	✓	LIB
207.	ON	Oxford··························································	CPC	Arpan Khanna	✓	CPC
208.	ON	Parry Sound—Muskoka·············································	CPC	Scott Aitchison	✓	CPC
209.	ON	Perth—Wellington················································	CPC	John Nater	✓	CPC
210.	ON	Peterborough····················································	CPC	Michelle Ferreri	✓	CPC
211.	ON	Pickering—Brooklin··············································	LIB	Jennifer O'Connell	✗	CPC	G
212.	ON	Prescott—Russell—Cumberland·····································	LIB	Francis Drouin	†	CPC	G
213.	ON	Richmond Hill South·············································	LIB	Majid Jowhari	✗	CPC	G
214.	ON	Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong·······································	CPC	Marilyn Gladu	✓	CPC
215.	ON	Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma·········································	LIB	Terry Sheehan	✗	CPC	G
216.	ON	Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East······························	LIB LIB	Michael Coteau Salma Zahid	✓ †	LIB
217.	ON	Scarborough North···············································	LIB	Shaun Chen	✓	LIB
218.	ON	Scarborough Southwest···········································	LIB	Bill Blair	✓	LIB
219.	ON	Scarborough—Agincourt···········································	LIB	Jean Yip	✗	CPC	G
220.	ON	Scarborough—Guildwood—Rouge Park································	LIB	Gary Anandasangaree	✓	LIB
221.	ON	Scarborough—Woburn··············································	LIB	John McKay	†	LIB
222.	ON	Simcoe North····················································	CPC	Adam Chambers	✓	CPC
223.	ON	Simcoe—Grey·····················································	CPC	Terry Dowdall	✓	CPC
224.	ON	Spadina—Harbourfront············································	CPC	Kevin Vuong	✗	NDP	G
225.	ON	St. Catharines··················································	LIB	Chris Bittle	✗	CPC	G
226.	ON	Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry·······································	CPC	Eric Duncan	✓	CPC
227.	ON	Sudbury·························································	LIB	Viviane LaPointe	✗	CPC	G
228.	ON	Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt·····························	LIB NDP	Marc Serré Carol Hughes	✗ †	CPC	G
229.	ON	Taiaiko'n—Parkdale—High Park····································	LIB	Arif Virani	✗	NDP	G
230.	ON	Thornhill·······················································	CPC	Melissa Lantsman	✓	CPC
231.	ON	Thunder Bay—Rainy River·········································	LIB	Marcus Powlowski	✗	CPC	G
232.	ON	Thunder Bay—Superior North······································	LIB	Patty Hajdu	✗	CPC	G
233.	ON	Toronto Centre··················································	LIB	Marci Ien	✓	LIB
234.	ON	Toronto—Danforth················································	LIB	Julie Dabrusin	✓	LIB
235.	ON	Toronto—St. Paul's··············································	CPC	Don Stewart	✓	CPC
236.	ON	University—Rosedale·············································	LIB	Chrystia Freeland	✓	LIB
237.	ON	Vaughan—Woodbridge··············································	LIB	Francesco Sorbara	✗	CPC	G
238.	ON	Waterloo························································	LIB	Bardish Chagger	✗	CPC	G
239.	ON	Wellington—Halton Hills North···································	CPC	Michael Chong	✓	CPC
240.	ON	Whitby··························································	LIB	Ryan Turnbull	✗	CPC	G
241.	ON	Willowdale······················································	LIB	Ali Ehsassi	✗	CPC	G
242.	ON	Windsor West····················································	NDP	Brian Masse	✓	NDP
243.	ON	Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore······································	LIB	Irek Kusmierczyk	✗	CPC	G
244.	ON	York Centre·····················································	LIB	Ya'ara Saks	✗	CPC	G
245.	ON	York South—Weston—Etobicoke·····································	LIB	Ahmed Hussen	✓	LIB
246.	ON	York—Durham·····················································				CPC	G
247.	PE	Cardigan························································	LIB	Lawrence MacAulay	✗	CPC	G
248.	PE	Charlottetown···················································	LIB	Sean Casey	✗	CPC	G
249.	PE	Egmont··························································	LIB	Bobby Morrissey	✗	CPC	G
250.	PE	Malpeque························································	LIB	Heath MacDonald	✗	CPC	G
251.	QC	Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou································	BQ	Sylvie Bérubé	✓	BQ
252.	QC	Abitibi—Témiscamingue···········································	BQ	Sébastien Lemire	✓	BQ
253.	QC	Ahuntsic-Cartierville···········································	LIB	Mélanie Joly	✓	LIB
254.	QC	Alfred-Pellan···················································	LIB	Angelo Iacono	✓	LIB
255.	QC	Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation·····································	LIB	Stéphane Lauzon	✗	BQ	G
256.	QC	Beauce··························································	CPC	Richard Lehoux	✓	CPC
257.	QC	Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon······················	BQ	Claude DeBellefeuille	✓	BQ
258.	QC	Beauport—Limoilou···············································	BQ	Julie Vignola	✗	CPC	G
259.	QC	Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak································	BQ	Louis Plamondon	✓	BQ
260.	QC	Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis·································	CPC	Dominique Vien	✓	CPC
261.	QC	Beloeil—Chambly·················································	BQ	Yves-François Blanchet	✓	BQ
262.	QC	Berthier—Maskinongé·············································	BQ	Yves Perron	✓	BQ
263.	QC	Bourassa························································	LIB	Emmanuel Dubourg	†	LIB
264.	QC	Brome—Missisquoi················································	LIB	Pascale St-Onge	✗	BQ	G
265.	QC	Brossard—Saint-Lambert··········································	LIB	Alexandra Mendès	✓	LIB
266.	QC	Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles································	CPC	Pierre Paul-Hus	✓	CPC
267.	QC	Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville··························	LIB	Brenda Shanahan	✗	BQ	G
268.	QC	Chicoutimi—Le Fjord·············································	CPC	Richard Martel	✓	CPC
269.	QC	Compton—Stanstead···············································	LIB	Marie-Claude Bibeau	✗	BQ	G
270.	QC	Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata··············	CPC	Bernard Généreux	✓	CPC
271.	QC	Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan····························	BQ	Marilène Gill	✓	BQ
272.	QC	Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle··········································	LIB	Anju Dhillon	✓	LIB
273.	QC	Drummond························································	BQ	Martin Champoux	✓	BQ
274.	QC	Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj······················	BQ	Maxime Blanchette-Joncas	✓	BQ
275.	QC	Gatineau························································	LIB	Steven MacKinnon	✓	LIB
276.	QC	Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est··········································	LIB	Soraya Martínez Ferrada	✗	BQ	G
277.	QC	Honoré-Mercier··················································	LIB	Pablo Rodriguez	†	LIB
278.	QC	Hull—Aylmer·····················································	LIB	Greg Fergus	✓	LIB
279.	QC	Joliette—Manawan················································	BQ	Gabriel Ste-Marie	✓	BQ
280.	QC	Jonquière·······················································	BQ	Mario Simard	✓	BQ
281.	QC	La Pointe-de-l'Île··············································	BQ	Mario Beaulieu	✓	BQ
282.	QC	La Prairie—Atateken·············································	BQ	Alain Therrien	✓	BQ
283.	QC	Lac-Saint-Jean··················································	BQ	Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe	✓	BQ
284.	QC	Lac-Saint-Louis·················································	LIB	Francis Scarpaleggia	✓	LIB
285.	QC	LaSalle—Émard—Verdun············································	BQ	Louis-Philippe Sauvé	✓	BQ
286.	QC	Laurentides—Labelle·············································	BQ	Marie-Hélène Gaudreau	✓	BQ
287.	QC	Laurier—Sainte-Marie············································	LIB	Steven Guilbeault	✗	NDP	G
288.	QC	Laval—Les Îles··················································	LIB	Fayçal El-Khoury	✓	LIB
289.	QC	Les Pays-d'en-Haut··············································				BQ	G
290.	QC	Lévis—Lotbinière················································	CPC	Jacques Gourde	✓	CPC
291.	QC	Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne·······································	LIB	Sherry Romanado	✗	BQ	G
292.	QC	Longueuil—Saint-Hubert··········································	BQ	Denis Trudel	✓	BQ
293.	QC	Louis-Hébert····················································	LIB	Joël Lightbound	✗	CPC	G
294.	QC	Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk································	CPC	Gérard Deltell	✓	CPC
295.	QC	Marc-Aurèle-Fortin··············································	LIB	Yves Robillard	†	BQ	G
296.	QC	Mégantic—L'Érable—Lotbinière····································	CPC	Luc Berthold	✓	CPC
297.	QC	Mirabel·························································	BQ	Jean-Denis Garon	†	BQ
298.	QC	Mont-Royal······················································	LIB	Anthony Housefather	✓	LIB
299.	QC	Mont-Saint-Bruno—L'Acadie·······································	BQ	Stéphane Bergeron	✓	BQ
300.	QC	Montcalm························································	BQ	Luc Thériault	✓	BQ
301.	QC	Montmorency—Charlevoix··········································	BQ	Caroline Desbiens	✓	BQ
302.	QC	Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount···································	LIB	Anna Gainey	✓	LIB
303.	QC	Outremont·······················································	LIB	Rachel Bendayan	✓	LIB
304.	QC	Papineau························································	LIB	Justin Trudeau	✓	LIB
305.	QC	Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères··························	BQ	Xavier Barsalou-Duval	✓	BQ
306.	QC	Pierrefonds—Dollard·············································	LIB	Sameer Zuberi	✓	LIB
307.	QC	Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi············································	LIB	Sophie Chatel	✓	LIB
308.	QC	Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier········································	CPC	Joël Godin	✓	CPC
309.	QC	Québec Centre···················································	LIB	Jean-Yves Duclos	✗	BQ	G
310.	QC	Repentigny······················································	BQ	Monique Pauzé	†	BQ
311.	QC	Richmond—Arthabaska·············································	IND	Alain Rayes	†	CPC	G
312.	QC	Rimouski—La Matapédia···········································	LIB BQ	Diane Lebouthillier Kristina Michaud	✗ ✓	BQ	G
313.	QC	Rivière-des-Mille-Îles··········································	BQ	Luc Desilets	✓	BQ
314.	QC	Rivière-du-Nord·················································	BQ	Rhéal Fortin	✓	BQ
315.	QC	Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie·······································	NDP	Alexandre Boulerice	✓	NDP
316.	QC	Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton·····································	BQ	Simon-Pierre Savard-Tremblay	✓	BQ
317.	QC	Saint-Jean······················································	BQ	Christine Normandin	✓	BQ
318.	QC	Saint-Laurent···················································	LIB	Emmanuella Lambropoulos	✓	LIB
319.	QC	Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel······································	LIB	Patricia Lattanzio	✓	LIB
320.	QC	Saint-Maurice—Champlain·········································	LIB	François-Philippe Champagne	✗	BQ	G
321.	QC	Shefford························································	BQ	Andréanne Larouche	✓	BQ
322.	QC	Sherbrooke······················································	LIB	Élisabeth Brière	✗	BQ	G
323.	QC	Terrebonne······················································	BQ	Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné	✓	BQ
324.	QC	Thérèse-De Blainville···········································	BQ	Louise Chabot	✓	BQ
325.	QC	Trois-Rivières··················································	BQ	René Villemure	✗	CPC	G
326.	QC	Vaudreuil·······················································	LIB	Peter Schiefke	✓	LIB
327.	QC	Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs·························	LIB	Marc Miller	✓	LIB
328.	QC	Vimy····························································	LIB	Annie Koutrakis	✓	LIB
329.	SK	Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake····························	CPC	Rosemarie Falk	✓	CPC
330.	SK	Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek·······································	CPC	Kelly Block	✓	CPC
331.	SK	Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River·····························	CPC	Gary Vidal	†	CPC
332.	SK	Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan···································	CPC	Fraser Tolmie	✓	CPC
333.	SK	Prince Albert···················································	CPC	Randy Hoback	✓	CPC
334.	SK	Regina—Lewvan···················································	CPC	Warren Steinley	✓	CPC
335.	SK	Regina—Qu'Appelle···············································	CPC	Andrew Scheer	✓	CPC
336.	SK	Regina—Wascana··················································	CPC	Michael Kram	✓	CPC
337.	SK	Saskatoon South·················································	CPC	Kevin Waugh	✓	CPC
338.	SK	Saskatoon West··················································	CPC	Brad Redekopp	✓	CPC
339.	SK	Saskatoon—University············································	CPC	Corey Tochor	✓	CPC
340.	SK	Souris—Moose Mountain···········································	CPC	Robert Kitchen	†	CPC
341.	SK	Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley·····························	CPC	Jeremy Patzer	✓	CPC
342.	SK	Yorkton—Melville················································	CPC	Cathay Wagantall	✓	CPC
343.	YT	Yukon···························································	LIB	Brendan Hanley	✗	CPC	G

Election
Limiter	Only: YT NT NU BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PE NL

What can we expect (according to Philippe)?