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New BrunswickHow did we vote in New Brunswick?
(Detailed results)

by Maurice Y. Michaud (he/him)

New Brunswick :: Recorded events and races
Jurisdiction Elections Referendums
Juri. Year Assem. General By-Elections
Elec Races Elec Races
Min Max Min Max N Accl. n Acc? N Accl. n Acc? Minis. Q Races
3 NB 1866 2024 21 61 41 2,033 48 1,985 0 187 248 86 162 0 53 1 12
The MMP simulator can be run on 28 of the 41 general elections in this jurisdiction.

“Acc?” stands for missing data (namely races entered as having been won by acclamation when in fact the results are unknown), while “Minis.” shows the number of ministerial by-elections.

Up until the middle of the 20th century, unseating a member was commonplace and the mechanism to challenge someone’s election seems to have been very lax when viewed through presentist lens, as many by-elections were held merely because the challenger — often the government or the defeated incumbent — did not like the result. What’s more, newly appointed ministers had to resign and run in a ministerial by-election. Therefore, by-elections were far more frequent than they are today.
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Summarized statistics

Showing ::  Summarized statistics ✓   By-Elections ✗   Referendums ✗
21 October 2024 — Present
Rev: 25 Mar 2025 16:01 :: ID 2761 (F)
General Election Your query
Legislature 61 Government Limiter None
Candidacies 207 Winner  LIB  Candidacies 207 Winner  LIB 
Majority +7 Maj/Min Majority +7 ↳ 31
Seats 49 → By acclamation 0 Seats 49 → By acclamation 0
For maj. 25 Eligible 568,944 For maj. 25 Eligible 568,944
LIB (gov’t) 31 Votes 374,823 LIB (gov’t) 31 Votes 374,823
Opposition 18 Rejected 1,231 Opposition 18 Rejected 1,231
G.Maj. +13 Turnout 66.10% MMP OK Yes Turnout 66.10%

Counting the candidates, the seats, and the votes

21 October 2024 — Present
Rev: 25 Mar 2025 16:01 :: ID 2761 (F)
Parties Rank Seats Votes
ID Can. 1 2 3 4 5 6– N % Acclam. R.M. Votes % /Can. Effic. Diff.%
S&V
49 31 17 1 —— —— —— 31 63.27% 0 25 180,806 48.24% 3,690 5,832 +15.03%
49 16 26 7 —— —— —— 16 32.65% 0 10 131,332 35.04% 2,680 8,208 -2.39%
46 2 6 36 2 —— —— 2 4.08% 0 0 51,558 13.76% 1,121 25,779 -9.68%
23 —— —— 1 17 3 2 0 0.00% —— —— 4,865 1.30% 212 —— ——
13 —— —— 1 8 4 —— 0 0.00% —— —— 3,265 0.87% 251 —— ——
18 —— —— —— 6 6 6 0 0.00% —— —— 1,710 0.46% 95 —— ——
4 —— —— —— 1 3 —— 0 0.00% —— —— 533 0.14% 133 —— ——
2 —— —— 1 1 —— —— 0 0.00% —— —— 476 0.13% 238 —— ——
3 —— —— —— 1 2 —— 0 0.00% —— —— 278 0.07% 93 —— ——
 !!!  [49] 20 25 4 —— —— —— 20 40.82% —— —— 192,890 33.90% 3,937 —— ——
 REJ  [49] —— —— —— —— —— —— Rejected ——→ 1,231 0.33% 25 —— ——
∑ 207 49 49 47 36 18 8 49 100.00% 0 35 374,823 100.00% 1,811 7,649 ——
One seat as a percentage (entire jurisdiction) ——→ 2.04%
  Lost votes ——→ 11,127 2.97%
Lost votes are defined as being “Votes that did not contribute to a party winning at least one seat, plus the votes for a ban­ner (or non-party) like Inde­pend­ent that did not yield to winning a seat.” Un­per­form­ing votes are those that did not contribue to winning a seat, while those that did are deemed performing. Because the vote efficiency of each party can vary by region, the sum of the lost votes from each region only adds up if the party has won no seat (in which case “lost” and “unperforming” are equal), while the sum of the performing or unperforming votes from each region always adds up.

The performance of the votes

21 October 2024 — Present
Rev: 25 Mar 2025 16:01 :: ID 2761 (F)
Parties Performing votes Unperforming votes
ID Can. Votes /Can. Seats Votes /Can. % Failures Votes /Can. %
49 180,806 3,690 31 137,009 4,420 75.78% 18 43,797 2,433 24.22%
49 131,332 2,680 16 63,269 3,954 48.17% 33 68,063 2,063 51.83%
46 51,558 1,121 2 6,114 3,057 11.86% 44 45,444 1,033 88.14%
23 4,865 212 0 0 0 0.00% 23 4,865 212 100.00%
 OTH  40 6,262 157 0 0 0 0.00% 40 6,262 157 100.00%
∑ 207 374,823 1,811 49 206,392 4,212 55.06% 158 168,431 1,066 44.94%
Performing, unperforming and lost votes, by party and region

To better understand the significance of this analysis, please refer to this article. Indeed, we can see that this breakdown uncovers an additional 17,928 lost votes. It would therefore be interesting to see in the MMP simulator how the outcome of this election might have been different with a proportional voting system.

Definitions of regions
SSW: Saint John (City), and Charlotte, Kings & Saint John Counties
Cap: Fredericton, and Carleton, Queens, Sunbury & York Counties
SE: Moncton, and Albert, Kent & Westmorland Counties
Nor: Gloucester, Madawaska, Northumberland, Restigouche & Victoria Counties
∑ 49 seats
C Votes S Performing Unperforming Lost
New Brunswick 207 374,823 100.00% 49 206,392 168,431 11,127 2.97%
SSW 52 73,810 19.69% 10 35,933 37,877 11,135 29,055
+17,928
7.75%
Cap 43 75,081 20.03% 9 37,617 37,464 3,524
SE 59 118,546 31.63% 15 64,310 54,236 2,061
Nor 53 107,386 28.65% 15 68,532 38,854 12,335
31 seats
C Votes S Performing Unperforming Lost
New Brunswick 49 180,806 48.24% 31 137,009 43,797 0 0.00%
SSW 10 31,508 42.69% 6 21,689 9,819 0 0
Cap 9 27,199 36.23% 3 12,741 14,458 0
SE 15 58,478 49.33% 10 46,292 12,186 0
Nor 15 63,621 59.25% 12 56,287 7,334 0
16 seats
C Votes S Performing Unperforming Lost
New Brunswick 49 131,332 35.04% 16 63,269 68,063 0 0.00%
SSW 10 31,167 42.23% 4 14,244 16,923 0 0
Cap 9 32,525 43.32% 5 21,230 11,295 0
SE 15 36,210 30.55% 4 15,550 20,660 0
Nor 15 31,430 29.27% 3 12,245 19,185 0
2 seats
C Votes S Performing Unperforming Lost
New Brunswick 46 51,558 13.76% 2 6,114 45,444 0 0.00%
SSW 10 7,935 10.75% 0 0 7,935 7,935 +17,928
34.77%
Cap 9 11,833 15.76% 1 3,646 8,187 0
SE 15 21,797 18.39% 1 2,468 19,329 0
Nor 12 9,993 9.31% 0 0 9,993 9,993
No seat
C Votes S Performing Unperforming Lost
New Brunswick 23 4,865 1.30% 0 0 4,865 4,865 100.00%
SSW 8 1,751 2.37% 0 0 1,751 1,751 4,865
Cap 7 1,211 1.61% 0 0 1,211 1,211
SE 4 783 0.66% 0 0 783 783
Nor 4 1,120 1.04% 0 0 1,120 1,120
 OTH  No seat
C Votes S Performing Unperforming Lost
New Brunswick 40 6,262 1.67% 0 0 6,262 6,262 100.00%
SSW 14 1,449 1.96% 0 0 1,449 1,449 6,262
Cap 9 2,313 3.08% 0 0 2,313 2,313
SE 10 1,278 1.08% 0 0 1,278 1,278
Nor 7 1,222 1.14% 0 0 1,222 1,222

Regional distribution of candidates and seats

21 October 2024 — Present
Rev: 25 Mar 2025 16:01 :: ID 2761 (F)
Parties Regions
SSW Cap SE Nor
ID C ✓ C ✓ C ✓ C ✓ C ✓
∑ 207 49 52 10 43 9 59 15 53 15
49 31 10 6 9 3 15 10 15 12
49 16 10 4 9 5 15 4 15 3
46 2 10 —— 9 1 15 1 12 ——
23 0 8 —— 7 —— 4 —— 4 ——
13 0 3 —— 6 —— 2 —— 2 ——
18 0 8 —— 2 —— 7 —— 1 ——
4 0 2 —— 1 —— —— —— 1 ——
2 0 —— —— —— —— —— —— 2 ——
3 0 1 —— —— —— 1 —— 1 ——
Definitions of regions
SSW: South/Southwest
Saint John (City), and Charlotte, Kings & Saint John Counties
Cap: Extended Capital Region
Fredericton, and Carleton, Queens, Sunbury & York Counties
SE: Southeast
Moncton, and Albert, Kent & Westmorland Counties
Nor: North
Gloucester, Madawaska, Northumberland, Restigouche & Victoria Counties

Candidates by gender identity

21 October 2024 — Present
Rev: 25 Mar 2025 16:01 :: ID 2761 (F)
Total Men (M) Women (F) Non binary (X)
ID Can. ✓ Leg. Can. ✓ Leg. Can. ✓ Leg. Can. ✓ Leg.
N % N % % N % N % % N % N % % N % N % %
∑ 207 100.00% 49 23.67% 100.00% 133 64.25% 32 24.06% 65.31% 71 34.30% 17 23.94% 34.69% 3 1.45% 0 0.00% ——
49 23.67% 31 63.27% 63.27% 33 67.35% 21 63.64% 67.74% 16 32.65% 10 62.50% 32.26% —— —— —— —— ——
49 23.67% 16 32.65% 32.65% 33 67.35% 10 30.30% 62.50% 16 32.65% 6 37.50% 37.50% —— —— —— —— ——
46 22.22% 2 4.35% 4.08% 24 52.17% 1 4.17% 50.00% 20 43.48% 1 5.00% 50.00% 2 4.35% 0 0.00% ——
23 11.11% 0 0.00% 0.00% 17 73.91% 0 0.00% —— 5 21.74% 0 0.00% —— 1 4.35% 0 0.00% ——
13 6.28% 0 0.00% 0.00% 9 69.23% 0 0.00% —— 4 30.77% 0 0.00% —— —— —— —— —— ——
18 8.70% 0 0.00% 0.00% 10 55.56% 0 0.00% —— 8 44.44% 0 0.00% —— —— —— —— —— ——
4 1.93% 0 0.00% 0.00% 4 100.00% 0 0.00% —— —— —— —— —— —— —— —— —— —— ——
2 0.97% 0 0.00% 0.00% 1 50.00% 0 0.00% —— 1 50.00% 0 0.00% —— —— —— —— —— ——
3 1.45% 0 0.00% 0.00% 2 66.67% 0 0.00% —— 1 33.33% 0 0.00% —— —— —— —— —— ——
How to interpret these percentages
 Can. %: Percentage of persons of that gender identity for this party.
↳ Ex.: 60 candidacies (30 M, 28 F, 2 X)
Can. % (M) = 100 * (30 / 60) = 50.00%
Can. % (F) = 100 * (28 / 60) = 46.67%
Can. % (X) = 100 * ( 2 / 60) =  3.33%
✓ %: Percentage of persons of that party and that gender identity who managed to get elected.
↳ Ex.: Number of persons elected = 19 (8 M, 10 F, 1 X)
✓ % (M) = 100 * ( 8 / 30) = 26.67%
✓ % (F) = 100 * (10 / 28) = 35.71%
✓ % (X) = 100 * ( 1 /  2) = 50.00%
Leg. %: Percentage of caucus members of that party by gender identity.
↳ Ex.: Number of persons elected = 19 (8 M, 10 F, 1 X)
Leg. % (M) = 100 * ( 8 / 19) = 42.11%
Leg. % (F) = 100 * (10 / 19) = 52.63%
Leg. % (X) = 100 * ( 1 / 19) =  5.26%

Age at their election

The age at election is missing for 29 of the 49 persons elected.
Can you help PoliCan find some missing birthdates?
21 October 2024 — Present
Rev: 25 Mar 2025 16:01 :: ID 2761 (F)
Total Men (M) Women (F)
ID # µ <=29 <=39 <=49 <=59 <=69 >=70 # µ <=29 <=39 <=49 <=59 <=69 >=70 # µ <=29 <=39 <=49 <=59 <=69 >=70
∑ 20 53.8 1 2 5 5 6 1 16 55.1 1 1 3 5 5 1 4 48.5 —— 1 2 —— 1 ——
15 54.9 1 1 3 4 5 1 12 55.7 1 1 1 4 4 1 3 52.0 —— —— 2 —— 1 ——
3 48.7 —— —— 2 1 —— —— 3 48.7 —— —— 2 1 —— —— —— —— —— —— —— —— —— ——
2 52.5 —— 1 —— —— 1 —— 1 67.0 —— —— —— —— 1 —— 1 38.0 —— 1 —— —— —— ——
µ = Average (Age)

© 2005, 2025 :: PoliCan.ca (Maurice Y. Michaud)
Pub.: 20 Aug 2024 05:00
Rev.: 25 Mar 2025 16:01 (but data presented dynamically)

© 2019-2025 :: PoliCan.ca
Given that electoral results are by their very nature public information, such data presented in PoliCan are considered to be in the public domain. However, unless indicated otherwise, all other elements — the concept of consolidating these data into a single format, the detailed research on each election, legislature and candidate, the organization and searchability of the data, the programming allowing the entry and maintenance of the data, as well as the analyses and explanatory articles found in this website — are the intellectual property of Maurice Y. Michaud.